Salinity - Impacts & Costs - New South Wales
New South Wales

Dryland Salinity Impacts : New South Wales overview
An assessment of the impacts of the current and future shallow water on land use and infrastructure was undertaken by digitally overlaying the water table maps with other digital data sets.
The impacts of shallow water tables on land use in summarised in the table below. The largest land use impact is for agricultural areas (cropping, horticultural and pastoral). Under current conditions, the largest areas of agricultural lands affected are within the Murray, Murrumbidgee and Macquarie catchments. There are also large impacts on forestry and remnant vegetation in the Murrumbidgee and Macintyre catchments.
Under future scenarios, there are large increases in remnant vegetation affected by shallow water tables in the Macintyre and Murrumbidgee catchments, and to a lessor extent in the Lachlan and Lake Hume catchments. Currently, there are large impacts in conservation areas within the Namoi, with future impacts in the Murrumbidgee catchment predicted.
Key assets at risk from shallow watertables within the catchments of the Murray-Darling Basin and the coastal catchments of the Hunter and Hawkesbury-Nepean rivers*, New South Wales.
| Assets | 2000 | 2020 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cropping land (ha) | 28 700 | 114 445 | 223 658 |
| Forests (ha) | 540 | 15 348 | 34 507 |
| Horticulture land (ha) | 1000 | 1 913 | 4 780 |
| Managed protection areas (ha) | 130 | 186 | 744 |
| Nature conservation areas (ha) | 2400 | 9 450 | 35 502 |
| Pasture land (ha) | 132400 | 412 125 | 927 171 |
| Remnant vegetation (ha) | 5 300 | 17 370 | 46 514 |
| Built-up areas (ha) | 1 182 | 2 209 | 3 646 |
| Towns (number) | 38 | 82 | 125 |
| Highways (km) | 130 | 331 | 534 |
| Major roads (km) | 110 | 298 | 701 |
| Minor roads (km) | 700 | 1 959 | 3 615 |
| Railways (km) | 100 | 226 | 416 |
| Bridges (number) | 20 | 22 | 43 |
| Wetlands (directly affected) (number) | 9 | 1 | 2 |
* Data for the Hunter and Hawkesbury-Nepean only for 2000.
What, and how much, agricultural land occurs in areas at high risk from dryland salinity?
| Catchment | 2000 | 2020 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Hume | 127 | 3 973 | 19 254 |
| Murray | 39 526 | 168 978 | 293 191 |
| Murrumbidgee | 58 098 | 286 848 | 469 500 |
| Lachlan | 19 793 | 38 845 | 153 264 |
| Macintyre | 3 800 | 25 500 | 67 224 |
| Gwydir | 0 | 0 | 2 973 |
| Namoi | 2 896 | 4 288 | 27 837 |
| Castlereagh | 1 197 | 12 005 | 174 666 |
| Macquarie | 25 072 | 36 767 | 90 848 |
| Richmond | 155 | n/a | n/a |
| Clarence | 91 | n/a | n/a |
| Bellinger | 27 | n/a | n/a |
| Manning | 34 | n/a | n/a |
| Hunter | 22 954 | n/a | n/a |
| Hawkesbury-Nepean | 4806 | n/a | n/a |
| Georges-Cooks | 13 | n/a | n/a |
| Deua | 11 | ||
| Total | 180 600 | 579 224 | 1 300 807 |
n/a = not available
The best available estimates of rates of groundwater rise indicate that by 2020 rising watertables will occur in large areas of the Murrumbidgee and Murray catchments. By 2050, large areas of the Lachlan, Castlereagh and Macintyre catchments will also be affected.
| Catchment | 2000 | 2020 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Hume | 3 973 | 12 999 | 37 496 |
| Murray | 168 978 | 227 187 | 293 514 |
| Murrumbidgee | 156 319 | 483 300 | 997 058 |
| Lachlan | 72 726 | 153 105 | 294 524 |
| Macintyre | 24 259 | 63 871 | 127 385 |
| Gwydir | 661 | 10 024 | 24 169 |
| Namoi | 10 244 | 20 427 | 57 528 |
| Castlereagh | 12 015 | 110 396 | 243 245 |
| Macquarie | 47 548 | 106 856 | 324 974 |
| Total | 496 722 | 1 188 163 | 2 399 892 |
| Hunter | Hawkesbury Nepean | |
|---|---|---|
| Cropping land (ha) | 213 | 29 |
| Forests (ha) | 61 | 0 |
| Horticulture (ha) | 470 | 0 |
| Managed protection (ha) | 106 | 0 |
| Nature conservation (ha) | 425 | 7 |
| Pasture (ha) | 18 515 | 943 |
| Remnant vegetation (ha) | 279 | 6 |
What biological resources occur in areas of high dryland salinity risk?
| Assets | 2000 | 2020 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forests (ha) | 481 | 15 348 | 34 507 |
| Managed protection areas (ha) | 29 | 186 | 744 |
| Nature conservation areas (ha) | 1 993 | 9 450 | 35 502 |
| Remnant vegetation (ha) | 5 038 | 17 370 | 46 514 |
| Hunter | Hawkesbury Nepean | |
|---|---|---|
| Forests (ha) | 61 | 0 |
| Managed protection (ha) | 106 | 0 |
| Nature conservation (ha) | 425 | 7 |
| Remnant vegetation (ha) | 279 | 6 |
What water resources occur in areas of high dryland salinity risk?
The NSW contribution for the recent Murray-Darling Basin Salinity Audit (Department of Land and Water Conservation 1999) provided estimates of future salt loads for the NSW portion of the Murray-Darling Basin (see table below). For many catchments, salt loads are predicted to dramatically increase during the next 50 years, assuming no change in management and a continuation of similar climate variability to that observed in the assessment period. For the major inland rivers in NSW, the most marked increases in total salt loads are predicted for the Lachlan, Bogan, Barwon and Namoi Rivers. The Bogan, Macquarie and Namoi catchments showed the largest increase in stream salinity.
| Catchment | Median salt load (tonnes per year) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 2020 | 2050 | |
| Macintyre at Mungindi | 68 000 | 68 000 | 68 000 |
| Gwydir near Collarenebri | 6 600 | 7 000 | 8 500 |
| Namoi at Goangra | 50 000 | 81 000 | 100 000 |
| Barwon- Darling at Menindee | 132 500 | 215 000 | 265 000 |
| Castlereagh at end-of-valley | 18 400 | 20 100 | 36 500 |
| Macquarie at Carinda | 32 100 | 65 500 | 89 000 |
| Bogan at Gongolgon | 24 600 | 48 000 | 63 500 |
| Lachlan at Forbes | 234 800 | 290 500 | 428 300 |
| Murrumbidgee at Balranald | 139 000 | 166 500 | 180 500 |
What infrastructure occurs in areas of high dryland salinity risk?
The length and percentage of roads affected by shallow water tables and dryland salinity outbreaks are summarised in table below More detail is available in the NSW Dryland Salinity Assessment 2000 report. On average 1% of roads in the eastern Murray-Darling Basin are currently at risk. This increases to approximately 7% by 2050. Under current conditions, highways only within the Murray, Murrumbidgee, Lachlan and Macquarie catchments are at significant risk. In the next 50 years, largest increases in highways affected occur for the Murray, Murrumbidgee and Castlereagh catchments. The impacts on other major and minor roads follow these trends.
| 2000 | 2020 | 2050 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| km | % | km | % | km | % | |
| Dual lane highways | ||||||
| Murrumbidgee | 2 | 1.0 | 9 | 4.4 | 18 | 8.7 |
| Total | 2 | 0.8 | 9 | 3.7 | 18 | 7.4 |
| Highways | ||||||
| Lake Hume | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Murray | 22 | 5.3 | 74 | 17.4 | 127 | 29.9 |
| Murrumbidgee | 48 | 2.3 | 196 | 9.2 | 265 | 12.5 |
| Lachlan | 18 | 1.4 | 23 | 1.8 | 61 | 4.7 |
| Macquarie | 17 | 1.3 | 25 | 1.9 | 46 | 3.5 |
| Macintyre | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.2 | 6 | 0.9 |
| Namoi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.2 |
| Castlereagh | 0 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.6 | 9 | 2.8 |
| Total | 107 | 1.5 | 322 | 4.4 | 515 | 7.1 |
| Major Roads | ||||||
| Lake Hume | 0 | 0.0 | 7 | 2.8 | 28 | 10.9 |
| Murray | 23 | 2.1 | 120 | 11.0 | 233 | 21.4 |
| Murrumbidgee | 30 | 1.2 | 120 | 4.7 | 186 | 7.2 |
| Lachlan | 10 | 0.5 | 23 | 1.1 | 139 | 6.4 |
| Macquarie | 21 | 1.2 | 25 | 1.4 | 46 | 2.6 |
| Macintyre | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 3 | 0.5 |
| Gwydir* | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Namoi | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 4 | 0.3 |
| Castlereagh | 1 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.2 | 62 | 13.8 |
| Total | 85 | 0.8 | 297 | 2.8 | 700 | 6.6 |
The length and percentage of railway lines affected by shallow water tables and dryland salinity outbreaks are summarised in the table below. On average 1% of railway lines in the eastern Murray-Darling Basin are at risk. This increases to approximately 6% by 2050. Currently, railway lines in Murray and Murrumbidgee are most affected. By 2020, large increases in railway lines affected occur in the Murray, Murrumbidgee and Macquarie catchments. Beyond 2020, railway lines in the Namoi catchment are also substantially affected.
| 2000 | 2020 | 2050 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| km | % | km | % | km | % | |
| Lake Hume | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 3.5 |
| Murray | 13.7 | 3.3 | 29.9 | 7.2 | 44.2 | 10.6 |
| Murrumbidgee | 40.0 | 2.0 | 157.3 | 8.1 | 218.3 | 11.2 |
| Lachlan | 8.2 | 0.5 | 11.1 | 0.7 | 77.5 | 4.8 |
| Macquarie | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 7.8 | 2.3 |
| Macintyre | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Gwydir* | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 25.3 | 9.7 |
| Namoi | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| Castlereagh | 16.3 | 1.2 | 18.3 | 1.3 | 40.0 | 2.9 |
| Total | 78 | 1.1 | 226 | 3.1 | 416 | 5.8 |
Urban salinity is considered a major issue in NSW. The current estimates summarised in the table below, show that on average 2% or 954 ha of built-up areas are at risk, mainly in the Murray and Murrumbidgee catchments. This will increase almost four-fold over the next 50 years. Largest impacts are forecasted for the Lake Hume, Murray, Castlereagh and Macquarie catchments. The total number of towns affected in NSW is 38. This increases to 82 by 2020, and 125 by 2050.
| Builtup Areas | 2000 | 2020 | 2050 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ha | % | ha | % | ha | % | |
| Lake Hume | 0 | 0.0 | 29 | 34.6 | 50 | 60.2 |
| Murray | 87 | 2.6 | 235 | 7.0 | 548 | 16.4 |
| Murrumbidgee | 847 | 3.5 | 1 491 | 6.2 | 1 625 | 6.8 |
| Lachlan | 5 | 0.1 | 19 | 0.4 | 385 | 7.5 |
| Macintyre | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Gwydir* | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Namoi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Castlereagh | 0 | 0.0 | 99 | 8.7 | 268 | 23.5 |
| Macquarie | 16 | 0.2 | 336 | 4.9 | 755 | 10.9 |
| Total | 954 | 2.0 | 2 209 | 4.7 | 3 631 | 7.7 |
There are also substantial impacts of dryland salinity and shallow water tables in areas outside the Murray-Darling Basin. Impacts on infrastructure for the two coastal catchments most at risk (Hunter and Hawkesbury/Nepean) are summarised in the table below. Currently, 2% of all roads in Hunter catchment are currently affected by shallow water tables; twice the percentage calculated for the Murray-Darling Basin catchments. Approximately 3% of all built-up areas within Hunter and Hawkesbury Nepean catchments are affected by shallow water tables and dryland salinity.
| Hunter | Hawkesbury Nepean | |
|---|---|---|
| Built-up areas (ha) | 60 | 168 |
| Highways (km) | 12 | 10 |
| Major roads (km) | 19 | 6 |
| Minor roads (km) | 71 | 26 |
| Railways (km) | 20 | 2 |
| Bridges | 5 | 3 |
Further information
- New South Wales Dryland Salinity Assessment 2000 report
- Australian Dryland Salinity Assessment 2000 report
- National Technical Overview Report of the State-based dryland salinity assessments
- Australian Groundwater Flow Systems Report
- New South Wales Department of Land and Water Conservation
- National Dryland Salinity Program
- National Action Plan for Salinity and Water Quality
Link to Map maker to make a map using this information.
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